perfcurve
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve or other performance curve for classifier output
Syntax
Description
[___] = perfcurve(
returns
the coordinates of a ROC curve and any other output argument from
the previous syntaxes, with additional options specified by one or
more labels
,scores
,posclass
,Name,Value
)Name,Value
pair arguments.
For example, you can provide a list of negative classes, change
the X
or Y
criterion, compute pointwise confidence
bounds using cross validation or bootstrap, specify the misclassification
cost, or compute the confidence bounds in parallel.
Examples
Plot ROC Curve for Classification by Logistic Regression
Load the sample data.
load fisheriris
Use only the first two features as predictor variables. Define a binary classification problem by using only the measurements that correspond to the species versicolor and virginica.
pred = meas(51:end,1:2);
Define the binary response variable.
resp = (1:100)'>50; % Versicolor = 0, virginica = 1
Fit a logistic regression model.
mdl = fitglm(pred,resp,'Distribution','binomial','Link','logit');
Compute the ROC curve. Use the probability estimates from the logistic regression model as scores.
scores = mdl.Fitted.Probability;
[X,Y,T,AUC] = perfcurve(species(51:end,:),scores,'virginica');
perfcurve
stores the threshold values in the array T
.
Display the area under the curve.
AUC
AUC = 0.7918
The area under the curve is 0.7918. The maximum AUC is 1, which corresponds to a perfect classifier. Larger AUC values indicate better classifier performance.
Plot the ROC curve.
plot(X,Y) xlabel('False positive rate') ylabel('True positive rate') title('ROC for Classification by Logistic Regression')
Alternatively, you can compute and plot the ROC curve by creating a rocmetrics
object and using the object function plot
.
rocObj = rocmetrics(species(51:end,:),scores,'virginica');
plot(rocObj)
The plot
function displays a filled circle at the model operating point, and the legend displays the class name and AUC value for the curve.
Compare Classification Methods Using ROC Curve
Load the sample data.
load ionosphere
X
is a 351x34 realvalued matrix of predictors. Y
is a character array of class labels: 'b'
for bad radar returns and 'g'
for good radar returns.
Reformat the response to fit a logistic regression. Use the predictor variables 3 through 34.
resp = strcmp(Y,'b'); % resp = 1, if Y = 'b', or 0 if Y = 'g' pred = X(:,3:34);
Fit a logistic regression model to estimate the posterior probabilities for a radar return to be a bad one.
mdl = fitglm(pred,resp,'Distribution','binomial','Link','logit'); score_log = mdl.Fitted.Probability; % Probability estimates
Compute the standard ROC curve using the probabilities for scores.
[Xlog,Ylog,Tlog,AUClog] = perfcurve(resp,score_log,'true');
Train an SVM classifier on the same sample data. Standardize the data.
mdlSVM = fitcsvm(pred,resp,'Standardize',true);
Compute the posterior probabilities (scores).
mdlSVM = fitPosterior(mdlSVM); [~,score_svm] = resubPredict(mdlSVM);
The second column of score_svm
contains the posterior probabilities of bad radar returns.
Compute the standard ROC curve using the scores from the SVM model.
[Xsvm,Ysvm,Tsvm,AUCsvm] = perfcurve(resp,score_svm(:,mdlSVM.ClassNames),'true');
Fit a naive Bayes classifier on the same sample data.
mdlNB = fitcnb(pred,resp);
Compute the posterior probabilities (scores).
[~,score_nb] = resubPredict(mdlNB);
Compute the standard ROC curve using the scores from the naive Bayes classification.
[Xnb,Ynb,Tnb,AUCnb] = perfcurve(resp,score_nb(:,mdlNB.ClassNames),'true');
Plot the ROC curves on the same graph.
plot(Xlog,Ylog) hold on plot(Xsvm,Ysvm) plot(Xnb,Ynb) legend('Logistic Regression','Support Vector Machines','Naive Bayes','Location','Best') xlabel('False positive rate'); ylabel('True positive rate'); title('ROC Curves for Logistic Regression, SVM, and Naive Bayes Classification') hold off
Although SVM produces better ROC values for higher thresholds, logistic regression is usually better at distinguishing the bad radar returns from the good ones. The ROC curve for naive Bayes is generally lower than the other two ROC curves, which indicates worse insample performance than the other two classifier methods.
Compare the area under the curve for all three classifiers.
AUClog
AUClog = 0.9659
AUCsvm
AUCsvm = 0.9489
AUCnb
AUCnb = 0.9393
Logistic regression has the highest AUC measure for classification and naive Bayes has the lowest. This result suggests that logistic regression has better insample average performance for this sample data.
Determine the Parameter Value for Custom Kernel Function
This example shows how to determine the better parameter value for a custom kernel function in a classifier using the ROC curves.
Generate a random set of points within the unit circle.
rng(1); % For reproducibility n = 100; % Number of points per quadrant r1 = sqrt(rand(2*n,1)); % Random radii t1 = [pi/2*rand(n,1); (pi/2*rand(n,1)+pi)]; % Random angles for Q1 and Q3 X1 = [r1.*cos(t1) r1.*sin(t1)]; % PolartoCartesian conversion r2 = sqrt(rand(2*n,1)); t2 = [pi/2*rand(n,1)+pi/2; (pi/2*rand(n,1)pi/2)]; % Random angles for Q2 and Q4 X2 = [r2.*cos(t2) r2.*sin(t2)];
Define the predictor variables. Label points in the first and third quadrants as belonging to the positive class, and those in the second and fourth quadrants in the negative class.
pred = [X1; X2];
resp = ones(4*n,1);
resp(2*n + 1:end) = 1; % Labels
Create the function mysigmoid.m
, which accepts two matrices in the feature space as inputs, and transforms them into a Gram matrix using the sigmoid kernel.
function G = mysigmoid(U,V) % Sigmoid kernel function with slope gamma and intercept c gamma = 1; c = 1; G = tanh(gamma*U*V' + c); end
Train an SVM classifier using the sigmoid kernel function. It is good practice to standardize the data.
SVMModel1 = fitcsvm(pred,resp,'KernelFunction','mysigmoid',... 'Standardize',true); SVMModel1 = fitPosterior(SVMModel1); [~,scores1] = resubPredict(SVMModel1);
Set gamma = 0.5
; within mysigmoid.m
and save as mysigmoid2.m
. And, train an SVM classifier using the adjusted sigmoid kernel.
function G = mysigmoid2(U,V) % Sigmoid kernel function with slope gamma and intercept c gamma = 0.5; c = 1; G = tanh(gamma*U*V' + c); end
SVMModel2 = fitcsvm(pred,resp,'KernelFunction','mysigmoid2',... 'Standardize',true); SVMModel2 = fitPosterior(SVMModel2); [~,scores2] = resubPredict(SVMModel2);
Compute the ROC curves and the area under the curve (AUC) for both models.
[x1,y1,~,auc1] = perfcurve(resp,scores1(:,2),1); [x2,y2,~,auc2] = perfcurve(resp,scores2(:,2),1);
Plot the ROC curves.
plot(x1,y1) hold on plot(x2,y2) hold off legend('gamma = 1','gamma = 0.5','Location','SE'); xlabel('False positive rate'); ylabel('True positive rate'); title('ROC for classification by SVM');
The kernel function with the gamma parameter set to 0.5 gives better insample results.
Compare the AUC measures.
auc1 auc2
auc1 = 0.9518 auc2 = 0.9985
The area under the curve for gamma set to 0.5 is higher than that for gamma set to 1. This also confirms that gamma parameter value of 0.5 produces better results. For visual comparison of the classification performance with these two gamma parameter values, see Train SVM Classifier Using Custom Kernel.
Plot ROC Curve for Classification Tree
Load the sample data.
load fisheriris
The column vector, species
, consists of iris flowers of three different species: setosa, versicolor, virginica. The double matrix meas
consists of four types of measurements on the flowers: sepal length, sepal width, petal length, and petal width. All measures are in centimeters.
Train a classification tree using the sepal length and width as the predictor variables. It is a good practice to specify the class names.
Model = fitctree(meas(:,1:2),species, ... 'ClassNames',{'setosa','versicolor','virginica'});
Predict the class labels and scores for the species based on the tree Model
.
[~,score] = resubPredict(Model);
The scores are the posterior probabilities that an observation (a row in the data matrix) belongs to a class. The columns of score
correspond to the classes specified by 'ClassNames'
. So, the first column corresponds to setosa, the second corresponds to versicolor, and the third column corresponds to virginica.
Compute the ROC curve for the predictions that an observation belongs to versicolor, given the true class labels species
. Also compute the optimal operating point and y values for negative subclasses. Return the names of the negative classes.
Because this is a multiclass problem, you cannot merely supply score(:,2)
as input to perfcurve
. Doing so would not give perfcurve
enough information about the scores for the two negative classes (setosa and virginica). This problem is unlike a binary classification problem, where knowing the scores of one class is enough to determine the scores of the other class. Therefore, you must supply perfcurve
with a function that factors in the scores of the two negative classes. One such function is $$score(:,2)\mathrm{max}(score(:,1),score(:,3))$$, which corresponds to the oneversusall coding design.
diffscore1 = score(:,2)  max(score(:,1),score(:,3));
The values in diffscore
are classification scores for a binary problem that treats the second class as a positive class and the rest as negative classes.
[X,Y,T,~,OPTROCPT,suby,subnames] = perfcurve(species,diffscore1,'versicolor');
X
, by default, is the false positive rate (fallout or 1specificity) and Y
, by default, is the true positive rate (recall or sensitivity). The positive class label is versicolor
. Because a negative class is not defined, perfcurve
assumes that the observations that do not belong to the positive class are in one class. The function accepts it as the negative class.
OPTROCPT
OPTROCPT = 1×2
0.1000 0.8000
suby
suby = 12×2
0 0
0.1800 0.1800
0.4800 0.4800
0.5800 0.5800
0.6200 0.6200
0.8000 0.8000
0.8800 0.8800
0.9200 0.9200
0.9600 0.9600
0.9800 0.9800
⋮
subnames
subnames = 1x2 cell
{'setosa'} {'virginica'}
Plot the ROC curve and the optimal operating point on the ROC curve.
plot(X,Y) hold on plot(OPTROCPT(1),OPTROCPT(2),'ro') xlabel('False positive rate') ylabel('True positive rate') title('ROC Curve for Classification by Classification Trees') hold off
Find the threshold that corresponds to the optimal operating point.
T((X==OPTROCPT(1))&(Y==OPTROCPT(2)))
ans = 0.2857
Specify virginica
as the negative class and compute and plot the ROC curve for versicolor
.
Again, you must supply perfcurve
with a function that factors in the scores of the negative class. An example of a function to use is $$score(:,2)score(:,3)$$.
diffscore2 = score(:,2)  score(:,3); [X,Y,~,~,OPTROCPT] = perfcurve(species,diffscore2,'versicolor', ... 'negClass','virginica'); OPTROCPT
OPTROCPT = 1×2
0.1800 0.8200
figure, plot(X,Y) hold on plot(OPTROCPT(1),OPTROCPT(2),'ro') xlabel('False positive rate') ylabel('True positive rate') title('ROC Curve for Classification by Classification Trees') hold off
Alternatively, you can use a rocmetrics
object to create the ROC curve. rocmetrics
supports multiclass classification problems using the oneversusall coding design, which reduces a multiclass problem into a set of binary problems. You can examine the performance of a multiclass problem on each class by plotting a oneversusall ROC curve for each class.
Compute the performance metrics by creating a rocmetrics
object. Specify the true labels, classification scores, and class names.
rocObj = rocmetrics(species,score,Model.ClassNames);
Plot the ROC curve for each class by using the plot
function of rocmetrics
.
figure plot(rocObj)
The plot
function displays a filled circle at the model operating point for each class, and the legend shows the class name and AUC value for each curve. You can find the optimal operating points by using the properties stored in the rocmetrics
object rocObj
. For an example, see Find Model Operating Point and Optimal Operating Point.
Compute Pointwise Confidence Intervals for ROC Curve
Load the sample data.
load fisheriris
The column vector species
consists of iris flowers of three different species: setosa, versicolor, virginica. The double matrix meas
consists of four types of measurements on the flowers: sepal length, sepal width, petal length, and petal width. All measures are in centimeters.
Use only the first two features as predictor variables. Define a binary problem by using only the measurements that correspond to the versicolor and virginica species.
pred = meas(51:end,1:2);
Define the binary response variable.
resp = (1:100)'>50; % Versicolor = 0, virginica = 1
Fit a logistic regression model.
mdl = fitglm(pred,resp,'Distribution','binomial','Link','logit');
Compute the pointwise confidence intervals on the true positive rate (TPR) by vertical averaging (VA) and sampling using bootstrap.
[X,Y,T] = perfcurve(species(51:end,:),mdl.Fitted.Probability,... 'virginica','NBoot',1000,'XVals',[0:0.05:1]);
'NBoot',1000
sets the number of bootstrap replicas to 1000. 'XVals','All'
prompts perfcurve
to return X
, Y
, and T
values for all scores, and average the Y
values (true positive rate) at all X
values (false positive rate) using vertical averaging. If you do not specify XVals
, then perfcurve
computes the confidence bounds using threshold averaging by default.
Plot the pointwise confidence intervals.
errorbar(X,Y(:,1),Y(:,1)Y(:,2),Y(:,3)Y(:,1)); xlim([0.02,1.02]); ylim([0.02,1.02]); xlabel('False positive rate') ylabel('True positive rate') title('ROC Curve with Pointwise Confidence Bounds') legend('PCBwVA','Location','Best')
It might not always be possible to control the false positive rate (FPR, the X
value in this example). So you might want to compute the pointwise confidence intervals on true positive rates (TPR) by threshold averaging.
[X1,Y1,T1] = perfcurve(species(51:end,:),mdl.Fitted.Probability,... 'virginica','NBoot',1000);
If you set 'TVals'
to 'All'
, or if you do not specify 'TVals'
or 'Xvals'
, then perfcurve
returns X
, Y
, and T
values for all scores and computes pointwise confidence bounds for X
and Y
using threshold averaging.
Plot the confidence bounds.
figure() errorbar(X1(:,1),Y1(:,1),Y1(:,1)Y1(:,2),Y1(:,3)Y1(:,1)); xlim([0.02,1.02]); ylim([0.02,1.02]); xlabel('False positive rate') ylabel('True positive rate') title('ROC Curve with Pointwise Confidence Bounds') legend('PCBwTA','Location','Best')
Specify the threshold values to fix and compute the ROC curve. Then plot the curve.
[X1,Y1,T1] = perfcurve(species(51:end,:),mdl.Fitted.Probability,... 'virginica','NBoot',1000,'TVals',0:0.05:1); figure() errorbar(X1(:,1),Y1(:,1),Y1(:,1)Y1(:,2),Y1(:,3)Y1(:,1)); xlim([0.02,1.02]); ylim([0.02,1.02]); xlabel('False positive rate') ylabel('True positive rate') title('ROC Curve with Pointwise Confidence Bounds') legend('PCBwTA','Location','Best')
Input Arguments
labels
— True class labels
numeric vector  logical vector  character matrix  string array  categorical array  cell array of character vectors  cell array
True class labels, specified as a numeric vector, logical vector, character matrix, string
array, categorical array, cell array of character vectors, or cell array. If
labels
is a cell array, it can contain elements with one of the other
types. In this case, perfcurve
uses crossvalidation and treats each
element of the cell array as a crossvalidation fold. If scores
is a cell
array, labels
must also be a cell array. labels
and
scores
must contain the same number of elements. For more information,
see Grouping Variables.
Example: {"hi","mid","hi","low",...,"mid"}
Example: ["H","M","H","L",...,"M"]
Data Types: single
 double
 logical
 char
 string
 cell
 categorical
scores
— Scores returned by classifier
vector of floating points  cell array of floating points
Scores returned by a classifier for sample data, specified as a vector or cell array of
floating points. scores
must contain the same number of elements as
labels
. If labels
is a cell array representing
crossvalidation folds, scores
must also be a cell array.
Example: [0.82;0.60;0.79;0.16;…;0.71;0.48;0.63;0.53;0.35]
Data Types: single
 double
 cell
posclass
— Positive class label
numeric scalar  logical scalar  character vector  string scalar  cell containing a character vector  categorical scalar
Positive class label, specified as a numeric scalar, logical scalar, character vector, string
scalar, cell containing a character vector, or categorical scalar. The positive class must be
a member of the input labels. The value of posclass
that you can specify
depends on the value of labels
.
labels value  posclass value 

Numeric vector  Numeric scalar 
Logical vector  Logical scalar 
Character matrix  Character vector 
String array  String scalar 
Cell array of character vectors  Character vector or cell containing character vector 
Categorical vector  Categorical scalar 
For example, in a cancer diagnosis problem, if a malignant tumor
is the positive class, then specify posclass
as 'malignant'
.
Data Types: single
 double
 logical
 char
 string
 cell
 categorical
NameValue Arguments
Specify optional pairs of arguments as
Name1=Value1,...,NameN=ValueN
, where Name
is
the argument name and Value
is the corresponding value.
Namevalue arguments must appear after other arguments, but the order of the
pairs does not matter.
Before R2021a, use commas to separate each name and value, and enclose
Name
in quotes.
Example: 'NegClass','versicolor','XCrit','fn','NBoot',1000,'BootType','per'
specifies
the species versicolor as the negative class, the criterion for the
Xcoordinate as false negative, the number of bootstrap samples as
1000. It also specifies that the pointwise confidence bounds are computed
using the percentile method.
NegClass
— List of negative classes
'all'
(default)  numeric array  categorical array  string array  cell array of character vectors
List of negative classes, specified as the commaseparated pair consisting of
'NegClass'
, and a numeric array, a categorical array, a string array, or
a cell array of character vectors. By default, perfcurve
sets
NegClass
to 'all'
and considers all nonpositive
classes found in the input array of labels to be negative.
If NegClass
is a subset of the classes
found in the input array of labels, then perfcurve
discards
the instances with labels that do not belong to either positive or
negative classes.
Example: 'NegClass',{'versicolor','setosa'}
Data Types: single
 double
 categorical
 char
 string
 cell
XCrit
— Criterion to compute for X
'fpr'
(default)  'fnr'
 'tnr'
 'ppv'
 'ecost'
 ...
Criterion to compute for X
, specified as
the commaseparated pair consisting of 'XCrit'
and
one of the following.
Criterion  Description 

tp  Number of true positive instances. 
fn  Number of false negative instances. 
fp  Number of false positive instances. 
tn  Number of true negative instances. 
tp+fp  Sum of true positive and false positive instances. 
rpp  Rate of positive predictions.rpp =
(tp+fp)/(tp+fn+fp+tn) 
rnp  Rate of negative predictions. rnp
= (tn+fn)/(tp+fn+fp+tn) 
accu  Accuracy. accu = (tp+tn)/(tp+fn+fp+tn) 
tpr , or sens , or reca  True positive rate, or sensitivity, or recall. tpr=
sens = reca = tp/(tp+fn) 
fnr , or miss  False negative rate, or miss. fnr
= miss = fn/(tp+fn) 
fpr , or fall  False positive rate, or fallout, or 1 – specificity. fpr = fall = fp/(tn+fp) 
tnr , or spec  True negative rate, or specificity. tnr
= spec = tn/(tn+fp) 
ppv , or prec  Positive predictive value, or precision. ppv
= prec = tp/(tp+fp) 
npv  Negative predictive value. npv = tn/(tn+fn) 
ecost  Expected cost. ecost = (tp*Cost(PP)+fn*Cost(NP)+fp*
Cost(PN)+tn*Cost(NN))/(tp+fn+fp+tn) 
Custom criterion  A customdefined function with the input arguments (C,scale,cost) ,
where C is a 2by2 confusion matrix, scale is
a 2by1 array of class scales, and cost is a 2by2
misclassification cost matrix. 
Caution
Some of these criteria return NaN
values
at one of the two special thresholds, 'reject all'
and 'accept
all'
.
Example: 'XCrit','ecost'
YCrit
— Criterion to compute for Y
'tpr'
(default)  same criteria options for X
XVals
— Values for the X
criterion
'all'
(default)  numeric array
Values for the X
criterion, specified as
the commaseparated pair consisting of 'XVals'
and
a numeric array.
If you specify
XVals
, thenperfcurve
computesX
andY
and the pointwise confidence bounds forY
(when applicable) only for the specifiedXVals
.If you do not specify
XVals
, thenperfcurve
, computesX
andY
and the values for all scores by default.
Note
You cannot set XVals
and TVals
at
the same time.
Example: 'XVals',[0:0.05:1]
Data Types: single
 double
 char
 string
TVals
— Thresholds for the positive class score
'all'
(default)  numeric array
Thresholds for the positive class score, specified as the commaseparated
pair consisting of 'TVals'
and either 'all'
or
a numeric array.
If
TVals
is set to'all'
or not specified, andXVals
is not specified, thenperfcurve
returnsX
,Y
, andT
values for all scores and computes pointwise confidence bounds forX
andY
using threshold averaging.If
TVals
is set to a numeric array, thenperfcurve
returnsX
,Y
, andT
values for the specified thresholds and computes pointwise confidence bounds forX
andY
at these thresholds using threshold averaging.
Note
You cannot set XVals
and TVals
at
the same time.
Example: 'TVals',[0:0.05:1]
Data Types: single
 double
 char
 string
UseNearest
— Indicator to use the nearest values in the data
'on'
(default)  'off'
Indicator to use the nearest values in the data instead of the specified numeric
XVals
or TVals
, specified as the commaseparated pair
consisting of 'UseNearest'
and either 'on'
or
'off'
.
If you specify numeric
XVals
and setUseNearest
to'on'
, thenperfcurve
returns the nearest uniqueX
values found in the data, and it returns the corresponding values ofY
andT
.If you specify numeric
XVals
and setUseNearest
to'off'
, thenperfcurve
returns the sortedXVals
.If you compute confidence bounds by cross validation or bootstrap, then this parameter is always
'off'
.
Example: 'UseNearest','off'
ProcessNaN
— perfcurve
method for processing NaN
scores
'ignore'
(default)  'addtofalse'
perfcurve
method for processing NaN
scores,
specified as the commaseparated pair consisting of 'ProcessNaN'
and 'ignore'
or 'addtofalse'
.
If
ProcessNaN
is'ignore'
, thenperfcurve
removes observations withNaN
scores from the data.If
ProcessNaN
is'addtofalse'
, thenperfcurve
adds instances withNaN
scores to false classification counts in the respective class. That is,perfcurve
always counts instances from the positive class as false negative (FN), and it always counts instances from the negative class as false positive (FP).
Example: 'ProcessNaN','addtofalse'
Prior
— Prior probabilities for positive and negative classes
'empirical'
(default)  'uniform'
 array with two elements
Prior probabilities for positive and negative classes, specified
as the commaseparated pair consisting of 'Prior'
and 'empirical'
, 'uniform'
,
or an array with two elements.
If Prior
is 'empirical'
,
then perfcurve
derives prior probabilities from
class frequencies.
If Prior
is 'uniform'
,
then perfcurve
sets all prior probabilities to
be equal.
Example: 'Prior',[0.3,0.7]
Data Types: single
 double
 char
 string
Cost
— Misclassification costs
[0 1;1 0]
(default)  2by2 matrix
Misclassification costs, specified as the commaseparated pair
consisting of 'Cost'
and a 2by2 matrix, containing [Cost(PP),Cost(NP);Cost(PN),Cost(NN)]
.
Cost(NP)
is the cost of misclassifying a
positive class as a negative class. Cost(PN)
is
the cost of misclassifying a negative class as a positive class. Usually, Cost(PP)
=
0 and Cost(NN)
= 0, but perfcurve
allows
you to specify nonzero costs for correct classification as well.
Example: 'Cost',[0 0.7;0.3 0]
Data Types: single
 double
Alpha
— Significance level
0.05 (default)  scalar value in the range 0 through 1
Significance level for the confidence bounds, specified as the commaseparated pair
consisting of 'Alpha'
and a scalar value in the range 0 through 1.
perfcurve
computes 100*(1 – α) percent pointwise confidence bounds for
X
, Y
, T
, and
AUC
for a confidence level of 1 – α.
Example: 'Alpha',0.01
specifies 99% confidence bounds.
Data Types: single
 double
Weights
— Observation weights
vector of nonnegative scalar values  cell array of vectors of nonnegative scalar values
Observation weights, specified as the commaseparated pair consisting
of 'Weights'
and a vector of nonnegative scalar
values. This vector must have as many elements as scores
or labels
do.
If scores
and labels
are
in cell arrays and you need to supply Weights
,
the weights must be in a cell array as well. In this case, every element
in Weights
must be a numeric vector with as many
elements as the corresponding element in scores
.
For example, numel(weights{1}) == numel(scores{1})
.
When perfcurve
computes the X
, Y
and T
or
confidence bounds using crossvalidation, it uses these observation
weights instead of observation counts.
When perfcurve
computes confidence bounds
using bootstrap, it samples N out of N observations
with replacement, using these weights as multinomial sampling probabilities.
The default is a vector of 1s or a cell array in which each element is a vector of 1s.
Data Types: single
 double
 cell
NBoot
— Number of bootstrap replicas
0 (default)  positive integer
Number of bootstrap replicas for computation of confidence bounds,
specified as the commaseparated pair consisting of 'NBoot'
and
a positive integer. The default value 0 means the confidence bounds
are not computed.
If labels
and scores
are
cell arrays, this parameter must be 0 because perfcurve
can
use either crossvalidation or bootstrap to compute confidence bounds.
Example: 'NBoot',500
Data Types: single
 double
BootType
— Confidence interval type for bootci
'bca'
(default)  'norm
 'per'
 'cper'
 'stud'
Confidence interval type for bootci
to use to compute confidence intervals,
specified as the commaseparated pair consisting of 'BootType'
and one of
the following:
'bca'
— Bias corrected and accelerated percentile method'norm
or'normal'
— Normal approximated interval with bootstrapped bias and standard error'per'
or'percentile'
— Percentile method'cper'
or'corrected percentile'
— Bias corrected percentile method'stud'
or'student'
— Studentized confidence interval
Example: 'BootType','cper'
BootArg
— Optional input arguments for bootci
[ ] (default)  {'Nbootstd',nbootstd}
Optional input arguments for bootci
to compute confidence bounds, specified
as the commaseparated pair consisting of 'BootArg'
and
{'Nbootstd',nbootstd}
.
When you compute the studentized bootstrap confidence intervals ('BootType'
is 'student'
), you can additionally specify the
'Nbootstd'
namevalue pair argument of bootci
by
using 'BootArg'
. For example,
'BootArg',{'Nbootstd',nbootstd}
estimates the standard error of the
bootstrap statistics using bootstrap with nbootstd
data samples.
nbootstd
is a positive integer and its default is 100.
Example: 'BootArg',{'Nbootstd',nbootstd}
Data Types: cell
Options
— Options for controlling the computation of confidence intervals
[]
(default)  structure array returned by statset
Options for controlling the computation of confidence intervals, specified as the
commaseparated pair consisting of 'Options'
and a structure array
returned by statset
. These options require Parallel Computing Toolbox™. perfcurve
uses this argument for computing pointwise
confidence bounds only. To compute these bounds, you must pass cell arrays for
labels
and scores
or set
NBoot
to a positive integer.
This table summarizes the available options.
Option  Description 

'UseParallel' 

'UseSubstreams' 

'Streams' 
A
In that case, use a cell array of the same size as the parallel pool. If a
parallel pool is not open, then 
If 'UseParallel'
is true
and 'UseSubstreams'
is false
,
then the length of 'Streams'
must equal the number
of workers used by perfcurve
. If a parallel pool
is already open, then the length of 'Streams'
is
the size of the parallel pool. If a parallel pool is not already open,
then MATLAB^{®} might open a pool for you, depending on your installation
and preferences. To ensure more predictable results, use parpool
(Parallel Computing Toolbox) and explicitly create a parallel
pool before invoking perfcurve
and setting 'Options',statset('UseParallel',true)
.
Example: 'Options',statset('UseParallel',true)
Data Types: struct
Output Arguments
X
— xcoordinates for the performance curve
vector, fpr
(default)  mby3 matrix
xcoordinates for the performance curve,
returned as a vector or an mby3 matrix. By default, X
values
are the false positive rate, FPR (fallout or 1 – specificity).
To change X
, use the XCrit
namevalue
pair argument.
If
perfcurve
does not compute the pointwise confidence bounds, or if it computes them using vertical averaging, thenX
is a vector.If
perfcurve
computes the confidence bounds using threshold averaging, thenX
is an mby3 matrix, where m is the number of fixed threshold values. The first column ofX
contains the mean value. The second and third columns contain the lower bound and the upper bound, respectively, of the pointwise confidence bounds.
Y
— ycoordinates for the performance curve
vector, tpr
(default)  mby3 matrix
ycoordinates for the performance curve,
returned as a vector or an mby3 matrix. By default, Y
values
are the true positive rate, TPR (recall or sensitivity). To change Y
,
use YCrit
namevalue pair argument.
If
perfcurve
does not compute the pointwise confidence bounds, thenY
is a vector.If
perfcurve
computes the confidence bounds, thenY
is an mby3 matrix, where m is the number of fixedX
values or thresholds (T
values). The first column ofY
contains the mean value. The second and third columns contain the lower bound and the upper bound, respectively, of the pointwise confidence bounds.
T
— Thresholds on classifier scores
vector  mby3 matrix
Thresholds on classifier scores for the computed values of X
and Y
,
returned as a vector or mby3 matrix.
If
perfcurve
does not compute the pointwise confidence bounds, or computes them using threshold averaging, thenT
is a vector.If
perfcurve
computes the confidence bounds using vertical averaging,T
is an mby3 matrix, where m is the number of fixedX
values. The first column ofT
contains the mean value. The second and third columns contain the lower bound, and the upper bound, respectively, of the pointwise confidence bounds.
For each threshold, TP
is the count of true
positive observations with scores greater than or equal to this threshold,
and FP
is the count of false positive observations
with scores greater than or equal to this threshold. perfcurve
defines
negative counts, TN
and FN
,
in a similar way. The function then sorts the thresholds in the descending
order that corresponds to the ascending order of positive counts.
For the m distinct thresholds found in the
array of scores, perfcurve
returns the X
, Y
and T
arrays
with m + 1 rows. perfcurve
sets
elements T(2:m+1)
to the distinct
thresholds, and T(1)
replicates T(2)
.
By convention, T(1)
represents the highest 'reject
all'
threshold, and perfcurve
computes
the corresponding values of X
and Y
for TP
= 0
and FP = 0
. The T(end)
value
is the lowest 'accept all'
threshold for which TN
= 0
and FN = 0
.
AUC
— Area under the curve
scalar value  3by1 vector
Area under the curve (AUC
) for the computed
values of X
and Y
, returned
as a scalar value or a 3by1 vector.
If
perfcurve
does not compute the pointwise confidence bounds,AUC
is a scalar value.If
perfcurve
computes the confidence bounds using vertical averaging,AUC
is a 3by1 vector. The first column ofAUC
contains the mean value. The second and third columns contain the lower bound and the upper bound, respectively, of the confidence bound.
For a perfect classifier, AUC = 1. For a classifier that randomly assigns observations to classes, AUC = 0.5.
If you set XVals
to 'all'
(default),
then perfcurve
computes AUC
using
the returned X
and Y
values.
If XVals
is a numeric array, then perfcurve
computes AUC
using X
and Y
values
from all distinct scores in the interval, which are specified by the
smallest and largest elements of XVals
. More
precisely, perfcurve
finds X
values
for all distinct thresholds as if XVals
were
set to 'all'
, and then uses a subset of these (with
corresponding Y
values) between min(XVals)
and max(XVals)
to
compute AUC
.
perfcurve
uses trapezoidal approximation
to estimate the area. If the first or last value of X
or Y
are NaN
s,
then perfcurve
removes them to allow calculation
of AUC
. This takes care of criteria that produce NaN
s
for the special 'reject all'
or 'accept
all'
thresholds, for example, positive predictive value
(PPV) or negative predictive value (NPV).
OPTROCPT
— Optimal operating point of the ROC curve
1by2 array
Optimal operating point of the ROC curve, returned as a 1by2 array with false positive rate (FPR) and true positive rate (TPR) values for the optimal ROC operating point.
perfcurve
computes OPTROCPT
for
the standard ROC curve only, and sets to NaN
s otherwise.
To obtain the optimal operating point for the ROC curve, perfcurve
first
finds the slope, S, using
$$S=\frac{\text{Cost}(PN)\text{Cost}(NN)}{\text{Cost}(NP)\text{Cost}(PP)}*\frac{N}{P}$$
Cost(NP) is the cost of misclassifying a positive class as a negative class. Cost(PN) is the cost of misclassifying a negative class as a positive class.
P = TP + FN and N = TN + FP. They are the total instance counts in the positive and negative class, respectively.
perfcurve
then finds the optimal
operating point by moving the straight line with slope S from
the upper left corner of the ROC plot (FPR = 0
, TPR
= 1
) down and to the right, until it intersects the ROC
curve.
SUBY
— Values for negative subclasses
array
Values for negative subclasses, returned as an array.
If you specify only one negative class, then
SUBY
is identical toY
.If you specify k negative classes, then
SUBY
is a matrix of size mbyk, where m is the number of returned values forX
andY
, and k is the number of negative classes.perfcurve
computesY
values by summing counts over all negative classes.
SUBY
gives values of the Y
criterion
for each negative class separately. For each negative class, perfcurve
places
a new column in SUBY
and fills it with Y
values
for true negative (TN) and false positive (FP) counted just for this
class.
SUBYNAMES
— Negative class names
cell array
Negative class names, returned as a cell array.
If you provide an input array of negative class names
NegClass
, thenperfcurve
copies names intoSUBYNAMES
.If you do not provide
NegClass
, thenperfcurve
extractsSUBYNAMES
from the input labels. The order ofSUBYNAMES
is the same as the order of columns inSUBY
. That is,SUBY(:,1)
is for negative classSUBYNAMES{1}
,SUBY(:,2)
is for negative classSUBYNAMES{2}
, and so on.
Algorithms
Pointwise Confidence Bounds
If you supply cell arrays for labels
and scores
,
or if you set NBoot
to a positive integer, then perfcurve
returns
pointwise confidence bounds for X
,Y
,T
,
and AUC
. You cannot supply cell arrays for labels
and scores
and
set NBoot
to a positive integer at the same time.
perfcurve
resamples data to compute confidence
bounds using either cross validation or bootstrap.
Crossvalidation — If you supply cell arrays for
labels
andscores
, thenperfcurve
uses crossvalidation and treats elements in the cell arrays as crossvalidation folds.labels
can be a cell array of numeric vectors, logical vectors, character matrices, cell arrays of character vectors, or categorical vectors. All elements inlabels
must have the same type.scores
can be a cell array of numeric vectors. The cell arrays forlabels
andscores
must have the same number of elements. The number of labels in cell j oflabels
must be equal to the number of scores in cell j ofscores
for any j in the range from 1 to the number of elements inscores
.Bootstrap — If you set
NBoot
to a positive integer n,perfcurve
generates n bootstrap replicas to compute pointwise confidence bounds. If you useXCrit
orYCrit
to set the criterion forX
orY
to an anonymous function,perfcurve
can compute confidence bounds only using bootstrap.
perfcurve
estimates the confidence bounds
using one of two methods:
Vertical averaging (VA) —
perfcurve
estimates confidence bounds onY
andT
at fixed values ofX
. That is,perfcurve
takes samples of the ROC curves for fixedX
values, averages the correspondingY
andT
values, and computes the standard errors. You can use theXVals
namevalue pair argument to fix theX
values for computing confidence bounds. If you do not specifyXVals
, thenperfcurve
computes the confidence bounds at allX
values.Threshold averaging (TA) —
perfcurve
takes samples of the ROC curves at fixed thresholdsT
for the positive class score, averages the correspondingX
andY
values, and estimates the confidence bounds. You can use theTVals
namevalue pair argument to use this method for computing confidence bounds. If you setTVals
to'all'
or do not specifyTVals
orXVals
, thenperfcurve
returnsX
,Y
, andT
values for all scores and computes pointwise confidence bounds forY
andX
using threshold averaging.
When you compute the confidence bounds, Y
is
an mby3 array, where m is
the number of fixed X
values or thresholds (T
values).
The first column of Y
contains the mean value.
The second and third columns contain the lower bound and the upper
bound, respectively, of the pointwise confidence bounds. AUC
is
a row vector with three elements, following the same convention. If perfcurve
computes
the confidence bounds using VA, then T
is an mby3
matrix, and X
is a column vector. If perfcurve
uses
TA, then X
is an mby3 matrix
and T
is a columnvector.
perfcurve
returns pointwise confidence
bounds. It does not return a simultaneous confidence band for the
entire curve.
Alternative Functionality
You can compute the performance metrics for a ROC curve and other performance curves by creating a
rocmetrics
object.rocmetrics
supports both binary and multiclass classification problems. You can pass classification scores returned by thepredict
function of a classification model object (such aspredict
ofClassificationTree
) torocmetrics
without adjusting scores for a multiclass model.rocmetrics
provides object functions to plot a ROC curve (plot
), find an average ROC curve for multiclass problems (average
), and compute additional metrics after creating an object (addMetrics
). For more details, see the reference pages and ROC Curve and Performance Metrics.
References
[1] Fawcett, T. “ROC Graphs: Notes and Practical Considerations for Researchers”, Machine Learning 31, no. 1 (2004): 1–38.
[2] Zweig, M., and G. Campbell. “ReceiverOperating Characteristic (ROC) Plots: A Fundamental Evaluation Tool in Clinical Medicine.” Clinical Chemistry 39, no. 4 (1993): 561–577.
[3] Davis, J., and M. Goadrich. “The Relationship Between PrecisionRecall and ROC Curves.” Proceedings of ICML ’06, 2006, pp. 233–240.
[4] Moskowitz, C. S., and M. S. Pepe. “Quantifying and Comparing the Predictive Accuracy of Continuous Prognostic Factors for Binary Outcomes.” Biostatistics 5, no. 1 (2004): 113–27.
[5] Huang, Y., M. S. Pepe, and Z. Feng. “Evaluating the Predictiveness of a Continuous Marker.” U. Washington Biostatistics Paper Series, 2006, 250–61.
[6] Briggs, W. M., and R. Zaretzki. “The Skill Plot: A Graphical Technique for Evaluating Continuous Diagnostic Tests.” Biometrics 64, no. 1 (2008): 250–256.
[7] Bettinger, R. “CostSensitive Classifier Selection Using the ROC Convex Hull Method.” SAS Institute, 2003.
Extended Capabilities
Automatic Parallel Support
Accelerate code by automatically running computation in parallel using Parallel Computing Toolbox™.
To run in parallel, specify the Options
namevalue argument in the call to
this function and set the UseParallel
field of the
options structure to true
using
statset
:
Options=statset(UseParallel=true)
For more information about parallel computing, see Run MATLAB Functions with Automatic Parallel Support (Parallel Computing Toolbox).
Version History
Introduced in R2009aR2022a: Default Cost
value has changed
Starting in R2022a, the default value for the Cost
namevalue argument
is [0 1; 1 0]
, which is the same as the default misclassification cost matrix
value for the new feature rocmetrics
and the classifier training functions,
such as fitcsvm
, fitctree
, and so on. In previous
releases, the default Cost
value is [0 0.5; 0.5
0]
.
If you specify the XCrit
or YCrit
namevalue
argument as 'ecost'
(expected cost) and use the default
Cost
value, the function returns values in the output argument
X
or Y
that are doubled compared to the values in
previous releases.
If you specify the XCrit
or YCrit
namevalue
argument as a custom metric and use the default Cost
value, the
corresponding output argument value can be different depending on how the custom metric uses a
cost matrix.
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