Prediction based on previous historical data

6 vues (au cours des 30 derniers jours)
Mekala balaji
Mekala balaji le 6 Fév 2015
Hi, I have Historical data of "Start" and "End". Now, I have "Start" value, but want to predict "End" value. Can some one help me how to predict today's End value based on available Historical "Start & End" and today's Start value (to Predict Today End value). The day is of random type no correlation with time. Please help me some available models using MATLAB. Many many thanks in advance.
Historical Data:
Start End
0.250 0.256
0.240 0.240
0.224 0.240
0.260 0.270
0.240 0.260
And Today Start value: 0.21 (Today End Value: 0.23)
Sincerely, Your's

Réponse acceptée

Guillaume
Guillaume le 6 Fév 2015
Modifié(e) : Guillaume le 6 Fév 2015
You don't have enough points to infer any kind of regression. I mean, if you look at:
data = [0.25 0.256
0.24 0.24
0.224 0.24
0.26 0.27
0.24 0.26];
scatter(data(:, 1), data(:, 2));
there's no pattern to your data.
If you want to do a linear regression anyway:
polystartend = polyfit(data(:,1), data(:, 2), 1); %linear regression
todaystart = 21;
todayend = polyval(polystartend, todaystart)
gives
todayend = 0.22688
  1 commentaire
Mekala balaji
Mekala balaji le 7 Fév 2015
Sir Thank you so much.
I have upper & lower bound: 0.005 from previous end value. If I predicted today's end is greater than 0005, then I want to restore the just previous end value as today's end value. In this case 0.26 (just for example. but in this no problem). I just want to set this boundary condition (constraint).So, how can I set this condition.
Many many thanks.

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Plus de réponses (2)

Udit Gupta
Udit Gupta le 6 Fév 2015
You can use mtlabs Curve Fitting tool (cftool). If you don't have that search for any linear regression or linear interpolation implementation on file exchange.

KUMANAN KUPUSAMY
KUMANAN KUPUSAMY le 28 Jan 2017
can i use current data to predict previous data?

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