How to do failure probability estimation using the direct Monte Carlo simulation. my code does not run it gives me "untitled'' as ans

15 vues (au cours des 30 derniers jours)
%USE MONTE CARLO METHOD TO CALCULATE PROBABILITY OF FAILURE OF WIND TURBINE
%The given limit state function for the given beam is
%g = -3.689 + 0.0184*D^2 + 0.2938*V ;
%Given :
D = 90.0219343 ;
V = 6.672408424 ;
mean_D = 90 ;
mean_V = 6.6724 ;
sigma_D = 10.29023 ;
sigma_V = 0.67708 ;
%Now use normrnd function
D = normrnd(mean_D, sigma_D, [n,1]);
V = normrnd(mean_V, sigma_V, [n,1]);
%
g = zeros(n,1);
K = 0;
%Create for loop
for i=1:n
g(i,1) = -3.689 + 0.0184*(D(i,1)^2) + 0.2938*(V(i,1)) ;
if g(i,1)<0
K = K + 1;
end
end
P_fail = K/n;

Réponses (1)

Torsten
Torsten le 17 Nov 2022
%USE MONTE CARLO METHOD TO CALCULATE PROBABILITY OF FAILURE OF WIND TURBINE
%The given limit state function for the given beam is
%g = -3.689 + 0.0184*D^2 + 0.2938*V ;
%Given :
D = 90.0219343 ;
V = 6.672408424 ;
mean_D = 90 ;
mean_V = 6.6724 ;
sigma_D = 10.29023 ;
sigma_V = 0.67708 ;
%Now use normrnd function
n = 1e6;
D = normrnd(mean_D, sigma_D, [n,1]);
V = normrnd(mean_V, sigma_V, [n,1]);
%
%Create for loop
K = nnz(-3.689 + 0.0184*D.^2 + 0.2938*V < 0);
P_fail = K/n
P_fail = 0
  4 commentaires
Torsten
Torsten le 17 Nov 2022
first order reliability method ?
compare beta function and pf of FORM ?
Ashwini Subhash
Ashwini Subhash le 17 Nov 2022
Forget about FORM. I was asking how can I find beta distribution for the given input parameters like in the attached file

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