Maximum Likelihood Function of GARCH model using "fmincon" function
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Dear Members, I wants to maximize the likelihood function of my GARCH models using "fmincon" function to compare the resutls of garchfit function of Matlab. I write the following codes for this purpose. The codes are given below.
setting for generation of AR-GARCH series
ModelSpecification = garchset('C',.2,'K',0.2, 'GARCH',0.8,'ARCH',[0.15])
The simulation is done by this command
[e1, s1, r] = garchsim(ModelSpecification, 500,1 );
in above setting "r" is our simulated series with AR_GARCH the program for estimation of garch model is
function y=garchmodel(beta)
load r
n=size(r,1);
residuals=zeros(n,1);
residuals(1,1)=r(1,1)-beta(1,1);
sigma=zeros(n,1);
sigma(1,1)=.000000001;
for i=2:n
%rr=(r(i-1)-a)^2;
%sigma(i,1)=c0+c1*rr+c2*sigma(i-1,1);
%ll=ll+(-log(sigma(i,1)+rr/sigma(i,1)));
residuals(i,1)=r(i,1)-beta(1,1);
sigma(i,1)=sqrt(beta(2,1)+beta(3,1)*residuals(i)^2+beta(4,1)*sigma(i-1,1)^2);
end
ll1=-0.5 * ( log(2*pi*(sigma.^2)) + (residuals./sigma).^2 );
y=-sum(ll1);
after we use the "fmincon" function to estimate the parameters of interest by maximization our ll which is "y" with following settings.
function [mn, fv]=minimization1()
beta0=[.0001;.2;.02;0.0];
A = [zeros(1,2) ones(1,1) ones(1,1)];
b = .99;
lb=[-100;1e-10;0;0];
ub=[];
%options = struct('MaxFunEvals', 2000);
options=optimset('Algorithm','sqp','MaxFunEvals', 2000,'MaxIter',500,'Diagnostics','on','Hessian','user-supplied');
%opt = optimset('Display','iter');
[mn, fv]=fmincon(@garchmodel,beta0,A,b,[],[],lb,ub,[],options);
I try my best to find the error so that I can get answers close to the origional values that I have set during simulation of series 'r'
Please help me in this regards, Irfan Malik Pakistan
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